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Tram Town
Saturday, October 02, 2004
 
Category: Kyoto
SOAPBOX TIME
That the climate is constantly changing is without doubt, it always has and it always will. That human activities have some effect on this change is without a doubt. That this effect is in any sense measurable above the noise of non human effects is VERY doubtful. That we can have some sort of ill-defined positive effect on the climate by messing around at the edges with one tiny variable in an extremely complex system that we do not understand (not even a little bit) is ridiculous.
And yet, despite these "indisputable" facts (the quotes acknowledge that some might dispute but...) Russia looks like signing up to the loopy Kyoto agreement:
Despite opposition from leading scientific and economic advisors, Russian President Vladimir Putin has told key ministers to sign off on the documents necessary for ratification of the Kyoto Protocol and the State Duma may approve it in the next few weeks. Russia's support will clear the way for the treaty entering into force. Apparently, the Russians have decided that Kyoto's defects shouldn't stop it from being used as a bargaining chip with the European Union. According to Myron Ebell, Director of Global Warming & International Environmental Policy at the Competitive Enterprise Institute: "Russia's scientists have dismissed the faulty science behind the treaty and their economists have done the same with the rosy economic projections put forward by Kyoto's backers. The only thing left supporting ratification is pure politics."
Pure politics? Given that Kyoto is based on 1990 emission levels and Russia's emissions have come way down since then (once the people have a say in their affairs they will tend to prefer clean environs) so Russia will have a whole bunch of credits to trade for billions of Euros. It would be irresponsible of Putin not to opt in to the agreement.


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